Recuento del entorno, causas y consecuencias que llevaron al país al recionamiento eléctrico en 1992.
Por: AMYLKAR D. ACOSTA*
21 de marzo de 2022. En 1990, en mi calidad de ministro encargado de Energía en mi discurso de instalación de un congreso latinoamericano de energía en Santa Marta plantee dos tesis que se apartaban de los paradigmas del sector eléctrico por aquellas calendas.
La primera, controvertida para la época: el agua, merced al cambio climático había dejado de ser un bien libre para tornarse en un bien económico, y fui más lejos al sostener que el agua había dejado de ser un recurso renovable. Tesis esta que he venido desarrollando y corroborando con el paso del tiempo.
La segunda, que los planes de expansión de generación eléctrica privilegiaban el mínimo costo al momento de priorizar los proyectos a ejecutar, pero para mí, sin soslayar dicha variable, era mucho más importante el mínimo riesgo y propuse introducir esta otra variable en la ecuación.
Pero, como dice la canción Pedro Navaja de Rubén Blades y Willie Colón, “la vida te da sorpresas, sorpresas te da la vida”. No estaba en mis planes aspirar y ser electo senador de la República en 1991 y mucho menos que como miembro de la Comisión V del Senado me correspondería coordinar la subcomisión que investigó las causas del racionamiento del servicio de energía eléctrica, más conocido como ‘El apagón’, el cual fue una verdadera calamidad pública, que se prolongó durante casi un año, desde el 2 de marzo de 1992 hasta el 7 de febrero de 1993. Tuve, además, la responsabilidad de redactar el Informe final de la investigación sobre la crisis eléctrica del país.
Si bien lo que precipitó tan drástica como costosa medida fue el fenómeno de El Niño, pudo más la imprevisión, la improvisación, los errores de cálculo y cómo no, la corrupción. En efecto, a consecuencia de la sequía, que se prolongó mucho más allá de los pronósticos, la más intensa en 37 años según Instituto Colombiano de Hidrología (HIMAT), el nivel de los embalses de las hidroeléctricas llegó a sus mínimos, al punto que el de El Peñol, que era y sigue siendo el de mayor capacidad registró un histórico 20.66%, lo cual se tradujo en una virtual parálisis del parque de generación hídrica con que contaba el país. Y, lo que era más grave, no obstante que la capacidad total instalada de potencia, de 8.335 MW, superaba en un 13% la demanda máxima en horas pico, el 78% de la misma dependía de la hidrología. En el mix de la capacidad instalada de generación el parque térmico apenas si llegaba al 22%, lo cual se constituyó en la gran vulnerabilidad del Sistema Interconectado Nacional (SIN).
Irónicamente, en momentos en los que expertos del sector sostenían que el sector eléctrico estaba “sobre instalado”, se presentó semejante falla.
No sólo en Colombia sino en Latinoamérica había un sesgo en favor de los proyectos hidroeléctricos, por una parte porque se asumía que sus menores costos operativos los hacían más competitivos frente a los térmicos y de contera la banca multilateral, especialmente el Banco Mundial (BM) y el Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo (BID), sólo contaban con líneas de financiamiento para proyectos hidroeléctricos. Ello inducía y sesgaba los planes de expansión, dado que el 100% de la inversión de dichos proyectos corrían por cuenta de la Nación, que terminó endeudándose hasta la coronilla para dotar al país de esta infraestructura.
Además de esa falla en la planeación del sector y la subestimación del costo racionamiento de energía al darle al agua valor cero, al estudiar las causas del racionamiento salieron a flote varias irregularidades, entre ellas la falta de mantenimiento y overhaul de varias de las plantas térmicas, de modo que cuando se les requirió varias de ellas no estaban operativas, el descalabro del proyecto de construcción de la hidroeléctrica de El Guavio, el cual, además de los sobrecostos injustificados, no entró en el tiempo previsto. Y de remate, de manera improvisada e improvidente se importaron en volandas al país dos barcazas generadoras que nunca generaron un solo kilovatio, fue un fiasco total, agravando aún más la situación ya de por sí compleja.
Adelanté sendos debates de control político en el Congreso de la República sobre el particular, de los cuales dio cuenta el exministro de Minas y Energía Guillermo Perry Rubio en el prólogo a mi libro ‘Del racionamiento eléctrico al racionamiento moral’, en los siguientes términos: “El debate sobre El Guavio condujo a que, por primera vez, se llevara a cabo un juicio fiscal y la Contraloría del Distrito exigiera el reintegro de $2.097 millones por parte de los ex gerentes de la Empresa de Energía de Bogotá… Las conclusiones del debate sobre las barcazas se trasladaron a la Comisión de Ética del Senado, la que encontró méritos para solicitar la pérdida de la investidura de uno de los miembros de la propia corporación”.
Por su parte, los organismos de control hicieron su parte, de tal suerte que sus investigaciones en el orden disciplinario y fiscal derivaron en destituciones de los responsables e inhabilidades para ejercer cargos públicos hacia el futuro, debiendo responder por el detrimento patrimonial al que dieron lugar sus actuaciones u omisiones, y la Fiscalía General de la Nación puso a varios de ellos a buen recaudo.
El presidente de la República Cesar Gaviria Trujillo, a través de una alocución televisiva en horario triple A, le anunció al país las sanciones a quienes reportamos en nuestro Informe como los más responsables de esta pesadilla en que se convirtió para todo los colombianos el racionamiento del fluido eléctrico.
*Exministro de Minas y Energía y miembro de Número de la ACCE.
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