¿Qué significa realmente la transición energética?

Transición Energética. Estas dos palabras no han dejado de pronunciarse en la última década. Sin embargo, ¿realmente tenemos claro cuál es su significado y en qué contexto se utilizan?

Por: ÓSCAR DÍAZ MARTÍNEZ*

8 de octubre de 2021.   La transición energética es «un cambio estructural a largo plazo en los sistemas energéticos», a lo cual también se le conoce como descarbonización del sistema energético. Esta segunda definición es muy clara e involucra una variable que juega un papel muy importante y es el largo plazo. 

Sin embargo, las transiciones no se dan de la noche a la mañana y requieren de un modelo estructurado. La primera transición energética data del siglo XIII con el reemplazo de la leña por el carbón, necesidad que se da por temas económicos.

Hoy en día, el tema en los medios de comunicación es la escasez de gas en Europa y como consecuencia el aumento en los precios del carbón y del petróleo. Esto no es ninguna sorpresa, más cuando los países desarrollados han expresado su voluntad de migrar hacia energías renovables, con metas restantes para la reducción de la huella de carbono. El problema, es que para ellos su apuesta no ha considerado planes alternativos, que permitan cubrir sus necesidades. 

Era más que obvio que la demanda de energía post-pandemia sería muy fuerte, y hoy observamos que el mercado no se ha podido adaptar a esta condición. La oferta no es suficiente y países como Holanda han pensado en reabrir uno de sus campos de gas, cerrado por su lineamiento de migrar hacia otras fuentes de energía para suplir la demanda. 

Hasta hace poco, el campo de gas más grande en Europa “Groningen” se cerraría por completo para 2023. Sin embargo, con la situación del sector energético europeo este campo sigue siendo necesario, dado que la actual crisis podría tener graves consecuencias para las economías de la Unión Europea.  Esto es solo una muestra de la falta de realismo de los países desarrollados en cuanto a los riesgos de una transición energética.

Ahora, el precio del gas a nivel mundial aumentará la demanda del carbón y del petróleo en el invierno. Un cambio de gas a petróleo, más la recuperación continua de su demanda mundial, hacen que se pronostiquen precios de 90 dólares este invierno, y quizás los USD 100 por barril a fines de 2022. Con respecto al carbón, se espera un precio promedio de USD 190 por tonelada de la referencia de Newcastle en Asia, para el último trimestre del año.

Como la geopolítica juega un papel determinante, si la tendencia alcista de los precios continúa, la reunión mensual de la OPEP+ podría aliviar los recortes a partir de noviembre en unos 400.000 barriles diarios buscando una estabilización. De toda esta situación, Rusia se ha posicionado muy bien y con movimientos estratégicos tiene el poder y los recursos para ser determinante en esta mini crisis energética.

Todo cambio es posible, pero requiere ajustarse a las condiciones del entorno. ¿Acaso ya se olvidó lo ocurrido en Texas a finales de febrero de este año?.

Como dice el poeta George Santayana: «Aquellos que no recuerdan el pasado, están condenados a repetirlo». Es el momento entonces de poner en práctica lo aprendido y no forzar a que en el corto plazo suceda lo que no está diseñado para que así sea.

*Presidente de la Junta Directiva de Acipet

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  120. Bordering on science fiction however for a big part backed by his own and different groups’ research, his superbly delivered presentation touched on surgical operating rooms fully staffed by robots (some components remotely managed by a surgeon), cell engineering, surgery robots that heal troops on the scene of the crime (hehe), genetic engineering, cloning and a wholesome dash of trans-humanism.

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  123. 1976, this sequence holds records of a more routine nature: church service bulletins, constructing maintenance data, basic office files (principally correspondence and committee stories), records generated by teams and societies within the church, historic notes, and membership information (including church directories, discovered nowhere else in the collection).

  124. “That’s enormous, as a result of just to look at the numbers, coal fired energy plants emit round 2,200 pounds per megawatt hour the place a brand new gasoline-fired, pure gasoline power plant is about 900 pounds per megawatt hour,” McGarry notes.

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  134. Whereas there are dozens and dozens of travel insurance coverage suppliers out there, there are three journey insurance coverage companies that can cover the overwhelming majority of travellers to Argentina.

  135. If you’re wanting for maximum consolation whereas touring, the brand new Stability Fresh Foam line of sneakers options the brand’s most advanced and cushioning soles that can absorb miles of strolling.

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  141. A Riverfront project is authorised and is in Planning for this river for 35 km length coming inside Jodhpur Urban Area which is under Nammi Ganga Venture of Ministry of Jal Shakti from January 2021, earlier this undertaking was underneath Jodhpur Development Authority.

  142. Adequate area for a large storage vessel just isn’t always accessible, while a low storage effectivity requires a bigger photo voltaic PV or wind energy plant to make up for that loss, elevating the costs and reducing the sustainability of the system.

  143. The parable right here is that horizontal stripes draw the attention throughout the physique, making you seem wider, and vertical stripes draw the attention up and down the physique, making you seem longer and leaner.

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  146. Residence to philanthropists Frank Islam and Debbie Driesman, the 14-bedroom, 23-bathroom estate was completed in 2013 and has hosted President Joe Biden – applicable, because the design was impressed by The White Home.

  147. ESV (John 11) Thank you a lot for listening to Season 1 of the Converse Beloved podcast! We are taking a break for the summer time (hear for extra details) and will likely be back with lots of encouragement, Scripture and extra with Season 2 within the fall.

  148. A proposed Game Boy port of Donkey Kong Nation was repurposed as a separate recreation, Donkey Kong Land (1995), after the programmer Paul Machacek satisfied Uncommon that it could be a greater use of assets and increase the potential audience.

  149. Despite social distancing and different efforts to mitigate spread of the COVID-19 illness, eight nuns from the varsity Sisters of Notre Dame died within per week of each other, together with four on the same day, after there was a constructive infection confirmed on Thanksgiving Day by one of the residents of their retirement home, which homes approximately one hundred residents.

  150. INPE reported that within the period from January 1 to August 29, throughout South America, and never exclusive to the Amazon rainforest, there were 84,957 fires in Brazil, 26,573 in Venezuela, 19,265 in Bolivia, 14,363 in Colombia, 14,969 in Argentina, 10,810 in Paraguay, 6,534 in Peru, 2,935 in Chile, 898 in Guyana, 407 in Uruguay, 328 in Ecuador, 162 in Suriname, and 11 in French Guiana.

  151. On the identical day, the European Union’s Copernicus Climate Change Service reported a «discernible spike» in emissions of carbon monoxide and carbon dioxide generated by the fires.

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  162. Like many other organisms, fireflies are instantly affected by land-use change (e.g., lack of habitat area and connectivity), which is identified as the primary driver of biodiversity modifications in terrestrial ecosystems.

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  164. 122. A pair of sisters discuss some subject contained on sheets of paper held by one; there is a a lot younger boy in the foreground sporting pale yellow attire with a matching cape – he holds a toy rifle in his left hand.

  165. St. Thomas the Apostle Boston Highway, London Borough of Ealing Stained glass Moira Forsyth made stained glass for the youngsters’s chapel and small panels on the west finish of the church, «Suffer Little Youngsters», which was made in Arts and Crafts model.

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  169. This eventually led to the bottling and promoting of honey by the two co-founders, and Quimby’s give attention to maintaining high quality helped to grow the business from an preliminary $200 at the Dover-Foxcroft Junior High school craft fair to $20,000 in gross sales by the tip of its first yr.

  170. St Mary’s Church Ashby Folville, Leicestershire 1934 Whall designed the North Aisle window which was commissioned by the Smith-Carington family in reminiscence of their mom Elizabeth Prince Smith-Carington and their brother Neville Woodford Smith-Carington MP.

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  176. Typewriters grew to become electrical as early as the 1950s, changing the mechanical springs and weighted keys with easy button presses firing a daisy wheel, or a rotating wheel containing the imprint symbols.

  177. On the night time of 7 November − the eve of Operation Torch − pro-Allied French Basic Antoine Béthouart tried a coup d’état in opposition to the Vichy French command in Morocco, so that he might surrender to the Allies the subsequent day.

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  179. Comedian Kevin Hart announced that his manufacturing company HartBeat Productions, Complex Networks and others could be producing a docuseries which can cowl «how the school and this game fooled the world and turned front page news».

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  186. The Druids also believed evil spirits would try to cart off unsuspecting souls at the moment of 12 months, so they’d don costumes mimicking those of the spirit world so as to guard themselves from being taken – the predecessor to as we speak’s Halloween costumes.

  187. He additionally started the Champions League qualifying matches against İstanbul Başakşehir and Europa League qualifying matches against AEK Athens, each of which had been defeats on aggregate.

  188. Trapp was a member of several German youth national groups, and was first known as up to the Germany U17 workforce, showing as an unused substitute all through the nationwide facet’s FIFA U-17 World Cup tournament, as they completed third place.

  189. However, the Doctor thinks they are the impressions of something forcing its manner into the universe and tracks the source to the headquarters of a secret organisation referred to as Torchwood, hidden in Canary Wharf.

  190. For the 2010 enchantment this modified, with Northern Ireland, Scotland and Wales deciding not to have their traditional decide-outs and instead following the English areas’ sample of having updates each hour.

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